Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli Airspace (The Tel Aviv Flight Information Region (FIR)/LLLL) is closed between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying closure occurs when the aviation or governmental authority responsible for overseein…
As of 30 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 1% implied probability (-0.7pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "December 31", from 32% to 26%. The event has traded $660.9K in total ($10.9K in the last 24h) with $87.4K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.