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Politicscloses in 15d

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be consider…

As of 15 September 2026, "September 30" leads at 35% implied probability. The event has traded $139.3K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $1.9K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 30 September 2026.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$139.3K
Liquidity
$1.9K
Markets
5
30 Sept 2026
GeopoliticsHezbollahLebanonMiddle EastIsrael

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketSeptember 30
Yes35.0¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$281
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

5 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.