Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026. …
As of 16 October 2026, "0.0%–0.8%" leads at 23% implied probability (-4.6pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "2.4%–3.2%", from 2% to 10%. The event has traded $43.5K in total ($283 in the last 24h) with $11.4K of liquidity across 10 markets. Trading is due to close on 17 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
10 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.