July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Outcome: 1.20–1.24ºC. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 11 Aug 2026
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for July 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for Jul…
This market settled on 11 August 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $61.3K across 6 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.