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Politicscloses in 3mo

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this m…

As of 12 September 2026, "December 31" leads at 9% implied probability (+1.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $295.6K in total ($5 in the last 24h) with $11.4K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$5
Total volume
$295.6K
Liquidity
$11.4K
Markets
3
1 Jan 2027
GeopoliticsRussiaPoliticsRamzan KadyrovChechnya

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31
Yes9.0¢
24h Chg+1.0pp
Mkt Vol$76.1K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.