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Politicscloses in 4d

Khamenei # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which …

As of 16 October 2026, "<5" leads at 87% implied probability (-2.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $5.9K in total ($695 in the last 24h) with $14.1K of liquidity across 13 markets. Trading is due to close on 20 October 2026.

24h volume
$695
Total volume
$5.9K
Liquidity
$14.1K
Markets
13
20 Oct 2026
PoliticsTweet MarketsRecurring

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market<5
Yes87.0¢
24h Chg-2.5pp
Mkt Vol$2.1K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

13 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Khamenei # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker