Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupy…
As of 12 September 2026, "September 30" leads at 2% implied probability (+0.3pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $73.2M in total ($70.4K in the last 24h) with $263.1K of liquidity across 10 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
10 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.