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Techcloses in 8mo

Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Rank Debut?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Moonshot AI Kimi K3.1 Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) holds a rank within the specified top ranks when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the…

As of 24 October 2026, "Top 5" leads at 17% implied probability. The event has traded $626 in total ($696 in the last 24h) with $693 of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.

24h volume
$696
Total volume
$626
Liquidity
$693
Markets
3
1 Jul 2027
AIKimiTechDebutMoonshotAI Releases

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketTop 5
Yes16.5¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$474
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Rank Debut? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker