Kraken IPO by ___ ?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock …
As of 30 October 2026, "December 31, 2026" leads at 6% implied probability (-0.2pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "June 30, 2027", from 45% to 35%. The event has traded $1.6M in total ($2.2K in the last 24h) with $6.0K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.