Politicscloses in 5mo

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an indepe…

24h volume

Total volume

$4.8K

Liquidity

$125

Markets

31 Dec 2026

PoliticsTrumprepublicanpartiesdemocratchangeswitch

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.