Longest GitHub critical incident in November 2026?
This market will resolve according to the duration of the longest qualifying incident that begins between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no qualifying incident begins during this period, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket (“<1 hour”). An incident will qualify if the o…
As of 2 November 2026, "<1 hour" leads at 50% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $28 of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.