Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
This market will resolve according to the duration of the longest qualifying incident that begins between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no qualifying incident begins during this period, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket (“<1 hour”). An incident will qualify if the of…
As of 16 October 2026, "6-12 hours" leads at 35% implied probability (+5.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "3-6 hours", from 48% to 55%. The event has traded $18.7K in total ($401 in the last 24h) with $3.7K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
Chart, demo trading & order book
Test this market with $10,000 virtual funds
Free account: paper trade on the real order book, follow whale moves, stack airdrop points.
Start freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.