Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?
Outcome: No. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 16 Oct 2026
Each market in this event will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's hourly odds value is higher than Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds value in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation …
This market settled on 16 October 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $82.5K across 2 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.