Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) and Flávio Bolsonaro participate in the same televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro must each speak at least once in the…
As of 16 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 86% implied probability (+1.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $5.2K in total ($3.0K in the last 24h) with $15.9K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 24 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.