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Economycloses in 5mo

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S. bank with total assets exceeding $50 billion as of November 11, 2025 (see:https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/lbr/current/), is bailed out by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A bailout is defined a…

24h volume
$32
Total volume
$3.9K
Liquidity
$978
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
Economy

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker