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Marathon Fusion gold yield matches its simulation by...?

On October 21, 2026, Marathon Fusion announced that it had "demonstrated high-rate alchemy," turning mercury into stable gold using fusion neutrons and "beating CERN's record by a factor of 10." (see: https://startupfortune.com/marathon-fusion-says-it-turned-mercury-into-gold-no-proof-yet/) Marathon Fusion's paper titl…

As of 24 October 2026, "June 30" leads at 51% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $146 of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$146
Markets
2
1 Jul 2027
GoldTechSciencephysicstechnology

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketJune 30
Yes50.5¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$0
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Marathon Fusion gold yield matches its simulation by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker