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Politicscloses in 1mo

MD-01 House Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise iden…

As of 12 September 2026, "Republican Party" leads at 94% implied probability. The biggest 24h move is "Democratic Party", from 5% to 7%. The event has traded $59.3K in total ($1 in the last 24h) with $34.2K of liquidity across 8 markets. Trading is due to close on 3 November 2026.

24h volume
$1
Total volume
$59.3K
Liquidity
$34.2K
Markets
8
3 Nov 2026
PoliticsElectionsNov 4 ElectionsMidtermsHouse ElectionsMaryland MidtermUS Election

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketRepublican Party
Yes93.5¢
24h Chg+0.0pp
Mkt Vol$33.5K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

8 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.