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Sciencecloses in 1mo

Measles cases in U.S. by November 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution sou…

As of 30 October 2026, "4800+" leads at 100% implied probability. The event has traded $100 in total ($274 in the last 24h) with $409 of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 December 2026.

24h volume
$274
Total volume
$100
Liquidity
$409
Markets
3
1 Dec 2026
MeaslesScienceWeatherPandemicsRecurring

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market4800+
Yes100.0¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$50
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Measles cases in U.S. by November 30? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker