Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution sour…
As of 16 October 2026, "4900+" leads at 5% implied probability (-0.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "4700+", from 55% to 49%. The event has traded $14.3K in total ($197 in the last 24h) with $6.4K of liquidity across 11 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
11 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.