Sciencecloses in 2d
Megaquake by July 31?
A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater. This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source …
24h volume
$3.4K
Total volume
$35.7K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Markets
1
31 Jul 2026
WeatherearthquakeEarthquakesNatural Disaster
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
1 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.