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Politicscloses in 3mo

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately…

As of 12 September 2026, "December 31" leads at 8% implied probability. The event has traded $167.6K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $30.0K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$167.6K
Liquidity
$30.0K
Markets
4
1 Jan 2027
ItalyPoliticsWorld

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31
Yes7.5¢
24h Chg+0.0pp
Mkt Vol$24.5K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

4 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.