Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?
Outcome: 1500+, 1490+, 1480+. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 14 Oct 2026
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon." This market will resolve to "Yes" i…
This market settled on 14 October 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $28.1K across 5 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.