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Politicscloses in 1mo

MI-08 House Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise ide…

As of 12 September 2026, "Thomas Smith (R)" leads at 8% implied probability (-0.2pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $18.3K in total ($30 in the last 24h) with $40.8K of liquidity across 8 markets. Trading is due to close on 4 November 2026.

24h volume
$30
Total volume
$18.3K
Liquidity
$40.8K
Markets
8
4 Nov 2026
MidtermsHouse ElectionsMichigan MidtermUS ElectionNov 4 ElectionsPoliticsElections

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketThomas Smith (R)
Yes7.7¢
24h Chg-0.2pp
Mkt Vol$10.1K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

8 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.