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Politicscloses in 3mo

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an annou…

As of 12 September 2026, "December 31, 2026" leads at 13% implied probability. The event has traded $118.0K in total ($10 in the last 24h) with $17.1K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$10
Total volume
$118.0K
Liquidity
$17.1K
Markets
6
1 Jan 2027
Politicsus governmenthouseCongress

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31, 2026
Yes12.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$4.2K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

6 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.