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Politicscloses in 1mo

Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if King Khalid International Airport (RUH) is targeted by a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Riyadh Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” King Khalid International Airport refers to the international airport serving Riyadh…

As of 16 October 2026, "October 15" leads at 26% implied probability (+7.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 31", from 68% to 50%. The event has traded $8.7K in total ($3.5K in the last 24h) with $1.5K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 December 2026.

24h volume
$3.5K
Total volume
$8.7K
Liquidity
$1.5K
Markets
3
1 Dec 2026
IranYemenHouthisPoliticsGeopoliticsSaudi Arabia

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketOctober 15
Yes25.5¢
24h Chg+7.0pp
Mkt Vol$4.7K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.