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Politicscloses in 1mo

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the East-West oil pipeline is targeted by a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Riyadh Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The East-West oil pipeline refers to Saudi Arabia’s East-West crude oil pipeline (also known as P…

As of 16 October 2026, "October 15" leads at 20% implied probability (+5.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "November 30", from 53% to 68%. The event has traded $35.8K in total ($11.4K in the last 24h) with $83.5K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 30 November 2026.

24h volume
$11.4K
Total volume
$35.8K
Liquidity
$83.5K
Markets
3
30 Nov 2026
OilIranYemenHouthisPoliticsGeopoliticsSaudi Arabia

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketOctober 15
Yes20.0¢
24h Chg+5.0pp
Mkt Vol$15.9K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.