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MT-01 House Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise ide…

As of 12 September 2026, "Aaron Flint (R)" leads at 62% implied probability (+0.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $11.2K in total ($35 in the last 24h) with $3.4K of liquidity across 8 markets. Trading is due to close on 4 November 2026.

24h volume
$35
Total volume
$11.2K
Liquidity
$3.4K
Markets
8
4 Nov 2026
MidtermsHouse ElectionsMontana MidtermUS ElectionElectionsNov 4 ElectionsPolitics

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketAaron Flint (R)
Yes61.5¢
24h Chg+0.5pp
Mkt Vol$6.2K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

8 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.