NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a NATO military downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If neither a NATO military downing a Russian drone nor Russia x Ukraine peace talks occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolv…
As of 27 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 55% implied probability. The event has traded $45 in total ($45 in the last 24h) with $66 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.