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Politicscloses in 3mo

Netanyahu arrested by…?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntar…

As of 12 September 2026, "September 30" leads at 0% implied probability (-0.2pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $25.5K in total ($8 in the last 24h) with $7.1K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$8
Total volume
$25.5K
Liquidity
$7.1K
Markets
3
1 Jan 2027
UNnycTrumpIsraelZohranCultureMamdaniNew YorkPoliticsnetanyahuNew York CityUnited Nations

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketSeptember 30
Yes0.4¢
24h Chg-0.2pp
Mkt Vol$19.1K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.