New Anthropic model released before IPO?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes a new AI model available to the general public between market creation and the moment Anthropic shares begin trading on their first trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Anthropic has not completed an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, thi…
As of 30 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 75% implied probability (+29.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $259 in total ($259 in the last 24h) with $2.1K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.