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Worldcloses in 3mo

New pandemic in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 5% implied probability (-2.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $1.1M in total ($7.9K in the last 24h) with $33.8K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$7.9K
Total volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$33.8K
Markets
1
1 Jan 2027
PandemicsClimate & ScienceHantavirusWorldScience

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketNew pandemic in 2026?
Yes4.5¢
24h Chg-2.0pp
Mkt Vol$1.1M
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.