New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 120th United States Senate confirms any individual nominated by President Trump to a Cabinet-level position or as a Supreme Court justice, a federal appeals court judge, or a federal district court judge (including the district courts of Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and t…
As of 5 November 2026, "January 31, 2027" leads at 22% implied probability. The event has traded $320 in total ($476 in the last 24h) with $562 of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.