New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a resul…
As of 16 October 2026, "Labor" leads at 21% implied probability (-7.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $2.3K in total ($666 in the last 24h) with $28.0K of liquidity across 15 markets. Trading is due to close on 28 March 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
15 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.