New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of more than half of the seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election: (a) Labour, Greens, and Te Pāti Mā…
As of 28 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 36% implied probability. The event has traded $148 in total ($148 in the last 24h) with $4.0K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 8 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.