New Zealand legislative election winner?
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by Octobe…
As of 12 September 2026, "National Party" leads at 44% implied probability. The event has traded $59.4K in total ($100 in the last 24h) with $72.7K of liquidity across 33 markets. Trading is due to close on 7 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
33 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.