Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President.…
As of 15 September 2026, "Alice Weidel" leads at 43% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $536 of liquidity across 66 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
66 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.