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Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Claude Opus model added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site. Otherwise, this market will resolve to …

24h volume
$1.3K
Total volume
$10.5K
Liquidity
$2.1K
Markets
5
31 Dec 2026
AITechClaudeAnthropicAI ReleasesClaude OpusAI Benchmarks

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

5 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker