Next Claude Sonnet released on...?
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public. Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variant…
As of 24 September 2026, "On or prior to September 24" leads at 50% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $0 of liquidity across 23 markets. Trading is due to close on 16 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
23 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.