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Politicscloses in 3mo

Next ECB President?

Christine Lagarde has announced that she will step down as President of the European Central Bank on February 7, 2027 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr261029~abbb6dc64b.en.html). This market will resolve to the first individual who is formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank…

As of 29 October 2026, "Person CN" leads at 50% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $353 of liquidity across 108 markets. Trading is due to close on 8 February 2027.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$353
Markets
108
8 Feb 2027
ECBEuropeEconomyPoliticsGlobal RatesEuropean Central Bank

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketPerson CN
Yes50.0¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$0
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

108 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.