Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5…
As of 18 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 79% implied probability (-6.3pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 22", from 67% to 56%. The event has traded $573.2K in total ($22.9K in the last 24h) with $32.0K of liquidity across 14 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
14 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.