Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?
Outcome: 1480+, 1490+. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 3 Sept 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this mar…
This market settled on 3 September 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $25.1K across 4 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.