Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rathe…
As of 18 October 2026, "November 30" leads at 86% implied probability (+1.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 31", from 61% to 66%. The event has traded $12.1K in total ($105 in the last 24h) with $415 of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 30 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.