Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.7+): Text Arena Debut?
Outcome: 1490+, 1480+. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 15 Aug 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this mar…
This market settled on 15 August 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $42.8K across 5 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.