Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any Gemi…
As of 27 October 2026, "1490+" leads at 25% implied probability (+0.4pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "1470+", from 34% to 31%. The event has traded $328.8K in total ($10.7K in the last 24h) with $12.1K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.