Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site. Otherwise, this market will resol…
As of 13 September 2026, "50%+" leads at 69% implied probability (-4.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "45%+", from 26% to 16%. The event has traded $52.0K in total ($1.3K in the last 24h) with $1.6K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.