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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.…

As of 12 September 2026, "September 30" leads at 13% implied probability (+1.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 15", from 79% to 66%. The event has traded $1.3M in total ($2.9K in the last 24h) with $24.0K of liquidity across 22 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.

24h volume
$2.9K
Total volume
$1.3M
Liquidity
$24.0K
Markets
22
1 Nov 2026
AITechGeminigoogleAI ReleasesGemini Pro

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketSeptember 30
Yes12.5¢
24h Chg+1.0pp
Mkt Vol$84.1K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

22 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker