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Techcloses in 5mo

Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?

Market resolved

Outcome: 1450+. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.

Settled 28 Jul 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI GPT model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will …

24h volume
$317.3K
Total volume
$508.2K
Liquidity
$2.6M
Markets
7
31 Dec 2026
AI5.6gptTechDebutGPT-5.6AI ReleasesOpenAI

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

7 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.