Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election. The government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least…
As of 30 October 2026, "L + S + U + O + Z" leads at 35% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $3.0K of liquidity across 22 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
22 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.