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Next Israeli government formed by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this m…

As of 27 October 2026, "February 28, 2027" leads at 56% implied probability. The event has traded $200 in total ($260 in the last 24h) with $11.6K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.

24h volume
$260
Total volume
$200
Liquidity
$11.6K
Markets
4
1 Jul 2027
WorldIsraelPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionIsrael ElectionGlobal Elections

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketFebruary 28, 2027
Yes56.0¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$126
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

4 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Next Israeli government formed by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker