Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Defense in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote …
As of 16 October 2026, "No Next Minister by Feb 28" leads at 37% implied probability (+0.3pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Israel Katz", from 90% to 88%. The event has traded $24.5K in total ($1.9K in the last 24h) with $328.4K of liquidity across 34 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 March 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
34 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.